一、台北市長民調數據統計表
調查機構 調查時間 郝龍斌 (國) 謝長廷 宋楚瑜(親) 未決定 其他人
(民)
聯合報 2006/11/4 44% 15% 11% 23% 7%
2006/11/19 42% 20% 8% 27% 3%
2006/11/25 42% 19% 8% 27% 4%
2006/12/2 44% 17% 8% 26% 5%
2006/12/9 53.81% 40.89% 4.14%    
中時 2006/11/5 46.90% 17.50% 7.60% 24.30% 4%
2006/11/22 44.60% 20.50% 7.30% 22.60% 5%
2006/11/29 48.10% 19.70% 5.40% 23.90% 3%
2006/12/5 47.70% 21.50% 5.10% 22.90% 3%
2006/12/9 53.81% 40.89% 4.14%    
自由 - - - -    
年代 2006/11/10 39.30% 19.70% 7.90% 29.30% 4%
2006/11/23 44.10% 18.60% 9% 23.10% 5%
2006/11/25 40.10% 21.30% 6.90% 24.80% 7%
2006/11/27 40.90% 20.30% 7.60% 26% 5%
2006/12/9 53.81% 40.89% 4.14%    
東森 2006/11/3 41.70% 16.40% 7.50% - 34%
2006/11/17 40% 10.80% 6.70% - 43%
2006/11/24 40.20% 10.98% 8.30% - 41%
2006/12/9 53.81% 40.89% 4.14% - 其他人包括未決定
TVBS 2006/11/11 49% 17% 12% 16% 6%
2006/11/20 49% 18% 10% 18% 5%
2006/12/3 54% 20% 9% 13% 4%
2006/12/5 52% 21% 7% 14% 6%
2006/12/9 53.81% 40.89% 4.14%    
二、台北市長民調與選舉結果差異統計表
調整後 調查時間 郝龍斌 (國) 郝龍斌 謝長廷(民) 謝長廷 宋楚瑜(親) 宋楚瑜
支持度 落差 落差 落差
聯合報 2006/11/4 57.10% 3.30% 19.50% -21.40% 14.30% 10.10%
2006/11/19 57.50% 3.70% 27.40% -13.50% 11.00% 6.80%
2006/11/25 57.50% 3.70% 26.00% -14.90% 11.00% 6.80%
2006/12/2 59.50% 5.60% 23.00% -17.90% 10.80% 6.70%
2006/12/9 53.81%   40.89%   4.14%  
中時 2006/11/5 62.00% 8.10% 23.10% -17.80% 10.00% 5.90%
2006/11/22 57.60% 3.80% 26.50% -14.40% 9.40% 5.30%
2006/11/29 63.20% 9.40% 25.90% -15.00% 7.10% 3.00%
2006/12/5 61.90% 8.10% 27.90% -13.00% 6.60% 2.50%
2006/12/9 53.81%   40.89%   4.14%  
自由 -            
年代 2006/11/10 55.60% 1.80% 27.90% -13.00% 11.20% 7.00%
2006/11/23 57.30% 3.50% 24.20% -16.70% 11.70% 7.60%
2006/11/25 53.30% -0.50% 28.30% -12.60% 9.20% 5.00%
2006/11/27 55.30% 1.50% 27.40% -13.50% 10.30% 6.10%
2006/12/9 53.81%   40.89%   4.14%  
東森 2006/11/3 63.60% 9.10% 25.00% -16.40% 11.40% 7.20%
2006/11/17 69.60% 15.10% 18.80% -22.60% 11.70% 7.50%
2006/11/24 67.60% 13.10% 18.50% -22.90% 14.00% 9.80%
將選委會 54.40%   41.40%   4.20%  
資料調整
TVBS 2006/11/11 58.30% 4.50% 20.20% -20.70% 14.30% 10.10%
2006/11/20 59.80% 5.90% 22.00% -18.90% 12.20% 8.10%
2006/12/3 62.10% 8.30% 23.00% -17.90% 10.30% 6.20%
2006/12/5 60.50% 6.70% 24.40% -16.50% 8.10% 4.00%
2006/12/9 53.81%   40.89%   4.14%  
註1:本表百分比扣除未決定者資料,調整後百分比數據與選委會計算基礎相同。
註2:負數代表低估,正數代表高估。
註3:黑底數據代表在百分之九十五信心水準下,超出抽樣誤差範圍之數據,代表未精準預測。
三、高雄市長民調數據統計表
調查機構 調查時間 陳菊 黃俊英 羅志明 未決定 其他人
(民) (國) (台聯)
聯合報 2006/11/4 24% 39% 3% 32% 2%
  2006/11/20 26% 39% 2% 32% 1%
  2006/11/24 29% 38% 3% 29% 1%
  2006/12/2 27% 39% 2% 32% 0%
          2006/12/9 49.41% 49.27% 0.86%    
中時 2006/11/4 23.20% 45.70% 2.80% 27% 1%
2006/11/23 29% 40.50% 1.30% 28.10% 1%
2006/11/30 29.60% 44% 1.10% 24.80% 1%
2006/12/4 29% 42.70% 1.30% 26.20% 1%
2006/12/9 49.41% 49.27% 0.86%    
自由 2006/12/4 34.09% 34.38% 1.14% 24.72% 6%
2006/12/9 49.41% 49.27% 0.86%    
年代 2006/10/27 31.10% 35.80% 1.80% 31.40% 0%
2006/11/23 28.10% 39% 2.70% 30.20% 0%
2006/11/25 27% 43.30% 2.10% 27.20% 0%
2006/11/27 26.32% 41.28% 2.64% 29.52% 0%
2006/12/9 49.41% 49.27% 0.86%    
東森 2006/11/3 29.60% 37.50% - - 33%
2006/11/17 30% 38.40% - - 32%
2006/11/24 28.50% 41.20% - - 30%
2006/12/9 49.41% 49.27% 0.86%   其他人包
括未決定 
TVBS 2006/10/24 30% 49% 2% 19% 0%
2006/11/5 29% 52% 2% 16% 1%
2006/12/4 31% 51% 2% 16% 0%
2006/12/6 36% 50% 2% 11% 1%
2006/12/9 49.41% 49.27% 0.86%    
四、高雄市長民調與選舉結果差異統計表
調整後 調查時間 陳菊 陳菊 黃俊英 黃俊英 羅志明 羅志明
支持度 (民) 落差 (國) 落差 (台聯) 落差
聯合報 2006/11/4 35.30% -14.10% 57.40% 8.10% 4.40% 3.60%
2006/11/20 38.20% -11.20% 57.40% 8.10% 2.90% 2.10%
2006/11/24 40.80% -8.60% 53.50% 4.30% 4.20% 3.40%
2006/12/2 39.70% -9.70% 57.40% 8.10% 2.90% 2.10%
2006/12/9 49.41%   49.27%   0.86%  
中時 2006/11/4 31.80% -17.60% 62.60% 13.30% 3.80% 3.00%
2006/11/23 40.30% -9.10% 56.30% 7.10% 1.80% 0.90%
2006/11/30 39.40% -10.00% 58.50% 9.20% 1.50% 0.60%
2006/12/4 39.30% -10.10% 57.90% 8.60% 1.80% 0.90%
2006/12/9 49.41%   49.27%   0.86%  
自由 2006/12/4 45.30% -4.10% 45.70% -3.60% 1.50% 0.70%
2006/12/9 49.41%   49.27%   0.86%  
年代 2006/10/27 45.30% -4.10% 52.20% 2.90% 2.60% 1.80%
2006/11/23 40.30% -9.20% 55.90% 6.60% 3.90% 3.00%
2006/11/25 37.10% -12.30% 59.50% 10.20% 2.90% 2.00%
2006/11/27 37.30% -12.10% 58.60% 9.30% 3.70% 2.90%
2006/12/9 49.41%   49.27%   0.86%  
東森 2006/11/3 44.10% -5.50% 55.90% 6.40% -  
2006/11/17 43.90% -5.80% 56.10% 6.60% -  
2006/11/24 40.90% -8.70% 59.10% 9.60% -  
將選委會 49.60%   49.50%   0.90%  
資料調整
TVBS 2006/10/24 37.00% -12.40% 60.50% 11.20% 2.50% 1.60%
2006/11/5 34.50% -14.90% 61.90% 12.60% 2.40% 1.50%
2006/12/4 36.90% -12.50% 60.70% 11.40% 2.40% 1.50%
2006/12/6 40.40% -9.00% 56.20% 6.90% 2.20% 1.40%
2006/12/9 49.41%   49.27%   0.86%  
註1:本表百分比扣除未決定者資料,調整後百分比數據與選委會計算基礎相同。
註2:負數代表低估,正數代表高估。
註3:黑底數據代表在百分之九十五信心水準下,超出抽樣誤差範圍之數據,代表未精準預測。