| 一、台北市長民調數據統計表 | ||||||||
| 調查機構 | 調查時間 | 郝龍斌 (國) | 謝長廷 | 宋楚瑜(親) | 未決定 | 其他人 | ||
| (民) | ||||||||
| 聯合報 | 2006/11/4 | 44% | 15% | 11% | 23% | 7% | ||
| 2006/11/19 | 42% | 20% | 8% | 27% | 3% | |||
| 2006/11/25 | 42% | 19% | 8% | 27% | 4% | |||
| 2006/12/2 | 44% | 17% | 8% | 26% | 5% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 中時 | 2006/11/5 | 46.90% | 17.50% | 7.60% | 24.30% | 4% | ||
| 2006/11/22 | 44.60% | 20.50% | 7.30% | 22.60% | 5% | |||
| 2006/11/29 | 48.10% | 19.70% | 5.40% | 23.90% | 3% | |||
| 2006/12/5 | 47.70% | 21.50% | 5.10% | 22.90% | 3% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 自由 | - | - | - | - | ||||
| 年代 | 2006/11/10 | 39.30% | 19.70% | 7.90% | 29.30% | 4% | ||
| 2006/11/23 | 44.10% | 18.60% | 9% | 23.10% | 5% | |||
| 2006/11/25 | 40.10% | 21.30% | 6.90% | 24.80% | 7% | |||
| 2006/11/27 | 40.90% | 20.30% | 7.60% | 26% | 5% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 東森 | 2006/11/3 | 41.70% | 16.40% | 7.50% | - | 34% | ||
| 2006/11/17 | 40% | 10.80% | 6.70% | - | 43% | |||
| 2006/11/24 | 40.20% | 10.98% | 8.30% | - | 41% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | - | 其他人包括未決定 | |||
| TVBS | 2006/11/11 | 49% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 6% | ||
| 2006/11/20 | 49% | 18% | 10% | 18% | 5% | |||
| 2006/12/3 | 54% | 20% | 9% | 13% | 4% | |||
| 2006/12/5 | 52% | 21% | 7% | 14% | 6% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 二、台北市長民調與選舉結果差異統計表 | ||||||||
| 調整後 | 調查時間 | 郝龍斌 (國) | 郝龍斌 | 謝長廷(民) | 謝長廷 | 宋楚瑜(親) | 宋楚瑜 | |
| 支持度 | 落差 | 落差 | 落差 | |||||
| 聯合報 | 2006/11/4 | 57.10% | 3.30% | 19.50% | -21.40% | 14.30% | 10.10% | |
| 2006/11/19 | 57.50% | 3.70% | 27.40% | -13.50% | 11.00% | 6.80% | ||
| 2006/11/25 | 57.50% | 3.70% | 26.00% | -14.90% | 11.00% | 6.80% | ||
| 2006/12/2 | 59.50% | 5.60% | 23.00% | -17.90% | 10.80% | 6.70% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 中時 | 2006/11/5 | 62.00% | 8.10% | 23.10% | -17.80% | 10.00% | 5.90% | |
| 2006/11/22 | 57.60% | 3.80% | 26.50% | -14.40% | 9.40% | 5.30% | ||
| 2006/11/29 | 63.20% | 9.40% | 25.90% | -15.00% | 7.10% | 3.00% | ||
| 2006/12/5 | 61.90% | 8.10% | 27.90% | -13.00% | 6.60% | 2.50% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 自由 | - | |||||||
| 年代 | 2006/11/10 | 55.60% | 1.80% | 27.90% | -13.00% | 11.20% | 7.00% | |
| 2006/11/23 | 57.30% | 3.50% | 24.20% | -16.70% | 11.70% | 7.60% | ||
| 2006/11/25 | 53.30% | -0.50% | 28.30% | -12.60% | 9.20% | 5.00% | ||
| 2006/11/27 | 55.30% | 1.50% | 27.40% | -13.50% | 10.30% | 6.10% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 東森 | 2006/11/3 | 63.60% | 9.10% | 25.00% | -16.40% | 11.40% | 7.20% | |
| 2006/11/17 | 69.60% | 15.10% | 18.80% | -22.60% | 11.70% | 7.50% | ||
| 2006/11/24 | 67.60% | 13.10% | 18.50% | -22.90% | 14.00% | 9.80% | ||
| 將選委會 | 54.40% | 41.40% | 4.20% | |||||
| 資料調整 | ||||||||
| TVBS | 2006/11/11 | 58.30% | 4.50% | 20.20% | -20.70% | 14.30% | 10.10% | |
| 2006/11/20 | 59.80% | 5.90% | 22.00% | -18.90% | 12.20% | 8.10% | ||
| 2006/12/3 | 62.10% | 8.30% | 23.00% | -17.90% | 10.30% | 6.20% | ||
| 2006/12/5 | 60.50% | 6.70% | 24.40% | -16.50% | 8.10% | 4.00% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 53.81% | 40.89% | 4.14% | |||||
| 註1:本表百分比扣除未決定者資料,調整後百分比數據與選委會計算基礎相同。 | ||||||||
| 註2:負數代表低估,正數代表高估。 | ||||||||
| 註3:黑底數據代表在百分之九十五信心水準下,超出抽樣誤差範圍之數據,代表未精準預測。 | ||||||||
| 三、高雄市長民調數據統計表 | ||||||||
| 調查機構 | 調查時間 | 陳菊 | 黃俊英 | 羅志明 | 未決定 | 其他人 | ||
| (民) | (國) | (台聯) | ||||||
| 聯合報 | 2006/11/4 | 24% | 39% | 3% | 32% | 2% | ||
| 2006/11/20 | 26% | 39% | 2% | 32% | 1% | |||
| 2006/11/24 | 29% | 38% | 3% | 29% | 1% | |||
| 2006/12/2 | 27% | 39% | 2% | 32% | 0% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 中時 | 2006/11/4 | 23.20% | 45.70% | 2.80% | 27% | 1% | ||
| 2006/11/23 | 29% | 40.50% | 1.30% | 28.10% | 1% | |||
| 2006/11/30 | 29.60% | 44% | 1.10% | 24.80% | 1% | |||
| 2006/12/4 | 29% | 42.70% | 1.30% | 26.20% | 1% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 自由 | 2006/12/4 | 34.09% | 34.38% | 1.14% | 24.72% | 6% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 年代 | 2006/10/27 | 31.10% | 35.80% | 1.80% | 31.40% | 0% | ||
| 2006/11/23 | 28.10% | 39% | 2.70% | 30.20% | 0% | |||
| 2006/11/25 | 27% | 43.30% | 2.10% | 27.20% | 0% | |||
| 2006/11/27 | 26.32% | 41.28% | 2.64% | 29.52% | 0% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 東森 | 2006/11/3 | 29.60% | 37.50% | - | - | 33% | ||
| 2006/11/17 | 30% | 38.40% | - | - | 32% | |||
| 2006/11/24 | 28.50% | 41.20% | - | - | 30% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | 其他人包 | ||||
| 括未決定 | ||||||||
| TVBS | 2006/10/24 | 30% | 49% | 2% | 19% | 0% | ||
| 2006/11/5 | 29% | 52% | 2% | 16% | 1% | |||
| 2006/12/4 | 31% | 51% | 2% | 16% | 0% | |||
| 2006/12/6 | 36% | 50% | 2% | 11% | 1% | |||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 四、高雄市長民調與選舉結果差異統計表 | ||||||||
| 調整後 | 調查時間 | 陳菊 | 陳菊 | 黃俊英 | 黃俊英 | 羅志明 | 羅志明 | |
| 支持度 | (民) | 落差 | (國) | 落差 | (台聯) | 落差 | ||
| 聯合報 | 2006/11/4 | 35.30% | -14.10% | 57.40% | 8.10% | 4.40% | 3.60% | |
| 2006/11/20 | 38.20% | -11.20% | 57.40% | 8.10% | 2.90% | 2.10% | ||
| 2006/11/24 | 40.80% | -8.60% | 53.50% | 4.30% | 4.20% | 3.40% | ||
| 2006/12/2 | 39.70% | -9.70% | 57.40% | 8.10% | 2.90% | 2.10% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 中時 | 2006/11/4 | 31.80% | -17.60% | 62.60% | 13.30% | 3.80% | 3.00% | |
| 2006/11/23 | 40.30% | -9.10% | 56.30% | 7.10% | 1.80% | 0.90% | ||
| 2006/11/30 | 39.40% | -10.00% | 58.50% | 9.20% | 1.50% | 0.60% | ||
| 2006/12/4 | 39.30% | -10.10% | 57.90% | 8.60% | 1.80% | 0.90% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 自由 | 2006/12/4 | 45.30% | -4.10% | 45.70% | -3.60% | 1.50% | 0.70% | |
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 年代 | 2006/10/27 | 45.30% | -4.10% | 52.20% | 2.90% | 2.60% | 1.80% | |
| 2006/11/23 | 40.30% | -9.20% | 55.90% | 6.60% | 3.90% | 3.00% | ||
| 2006/11/25 | 37.10% | -12.30% | 59.50% | 10.20% | 2.90% | 2.00% | ||
| 2006/11/27 | 37.30% | -12.10% | 58.60% | 9.30% | 3.70% | 2.90% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 東森 | 2006/11/3 | 44.10% | -5.50% | 55.90% | 6.40% | - | ||
| 2006/11/17 | 43.90% | -5.80% | 56.10% | 6.60% | - | |||
| 2006/11/24 | 40.90% | -8.70% | 59.10% | 9.60% | - | |||
| 將選委會 | 49.60% | 49.50% | 0.90% | |||||
| 資料調整 | ||||||||
| TVBS | 2006/10/24 | 37.00% | -12.40% | 60.50% | 11.20% | 2.50% | 1.60% | |
| 2006/11/5 | 34.50% | -14.90% | 61.90% | 12.60% | 2.40% | 1.50% | ||
| 2006/12/4 | 36.90% | -12.50% | 60.70% | 11.40% | 2.40% | 1.50% | ||
| 2006/12/6 | 40.40% | -9.00% | 56.20% | 6.90% | 2.20% | 1.40% | ||
| 2006/12/9 | 49.41% | 49.27% | 0.86% | |||||
| 註1:本表百分比扣除未決定者資料,調整後百分比數據與選委會計算基礎相同。 | ||||||||
| 註2:負數代表低估,正數代表高估。 | ||||||||
| 註3:黑底數據代表在百分之九十五信心水準下,超出抽樣誤差範圍之數據,代表未精準預測。 | ||||||||